Live Oak leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Live Oak typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Live Oak, ~32% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Live Oak compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Live Oak leans more Democratic than 40 of 47 neighbors.
Live Oak runs about 19 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Live Oak is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Live Oak. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Live Oak leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Live Oak, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 94% of residents in Live Oak live in densely developed areas, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Live Oak sits in the top quarter (about 32%, above 78% of cities). Live Oak runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Live Oak, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Live Oak looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Live Oak is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 35% of households in Live Oak rent, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Universal City, TX R+2
- Selma, TX R+5
- Windcrest, TX D+4
- Converse, TX D+17
- Randolph AFB, TX R+6
- Schertz, TX R+10
- Garden Ridge, TX R+34
- Kirby, TX D+20
- Cibolo, TX R+11
- Terrell Hills, TX R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bloomingdale, FL R+15
- Vermilion, OH R+22
- Pike Road, AL R+6
- New Cassel, NY D+46
- Norwalk, IA R+19
- Blackshear, GA R+68
- Lafollette, TN R+64
- Aptos, CA D+42
- Edgewater, NJ D+29
- Hedgesville, WV R+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.