Smith Mills, KY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Smith Mills

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Smith Mills is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.

 

About 70% of adults in Smith Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smith Mills, ~15% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Smith Mills compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Smith Mills leans more Republican than 46 of 74 neighbors.

Smith Mills runs about 28 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.

Why Smith Mills leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smith Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Smith Mills, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Smith Mills sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 85% of cities).

Population density and Republican lean

Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Smith Mills, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Smith Mills looks the way it does

Turnout in Smith Mills sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.