Southbelt Ellington is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Southbelt Ellington typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Southbelt Ellington, ~25% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Southbelt Ellington compares
Southbelt Ellington runs about 17 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Southbelt Ellington is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Southbelt Ellington. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+37) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 48 points.
Why Southbelt Ellington leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Southbelt Ellington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Southbelt Ellington votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Southbelt Ellington runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Southbelt Ellington, Houston, TX sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Southbelt Ellington looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Southbelt Ellington is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Pasadina, Houston, TX D+4
- South Houston Gardens, Pasadena, TX R+20
- Clear Lake, Houston, TX R+8
- Hubbell, Pasadena, TX R+5
- Houston Suburban Homes, Pasadena, TX R+10
- Southeast, Houston, TX D+49
- Downtown Pasadena, Pasadena, TX D+6
- Spencer View Terrace, Deer Park, TX R+22
- South Shore Harbour and Marina, League City, TX R+20
- Tuscan Lakes, League City, TX R+19
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Merrifield, Fairfax, VA D+48
- Great Bridge East, Chesapeake, VA R+26
- West Loch, Waipahu, HI D+9
- Glen-Fallstaff, Baltimore, MD D+49
- University, Denver, CO D+57
- Sherwood-Tualatin South, Tualatin, OR D+28
- Strawberry Mansion, Philadelphia, PA D+89
- Central District, Seattle, WA D+80
- Jefferson Park, Los Angeles, CA D+59
- Downtown, Evanston, IL D+74
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.