Downtown Pasadena leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 26% of adults in Downtown Pasadena typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downtown Pasadena, ~14% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~74% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Downtown Pasadena compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Downtown Pasadena leans more Democratic than 2 of 3 neighbors.
Downtown Pasadena runs about 20 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Downtown Pasadena is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Downtown Pasadena. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Downtown Pasadena leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Downtown Pasadena, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Downtown Pasadena live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Downtown Pasadena runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Downtown Pasadena, Pasadena, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Downtown Pasadena looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Downtown Pasadena is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 38%, about 16 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 65% of households in Downtown Pasadena rent, compared to around 50% in nearby neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 53% of adults in Downtown Pasadena have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Hubbell, Pasadena, TX R+5
- Houston Suburban Homes, Pasadena, TX R+10
- Downtown Jacinto City, Jacinto City, TX D+9
- Northshore, Houston, TX D+20
- Spencer View Terrace, Deer Park, TX R+22
- South Houston Gardens, Pasadena, TX R+20
- Pasadina, Houston, TX D+4
- East End, Houston, TX D+31
- Riviera East, Houston, TX D+50
- Southeast, Houston, TX D+49
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Twin Lakes, Federal Way, WA D+28
- Van Mall, Vancouver, WA D+23
- Vista, Boise, ID D+18
- City Center West, Philadelphia, PA D+70
- South Side, Wilmington, NC D+57
- Highland Garden, Hollywood, FL D+37
- Little Italy, Manhattan, NY D+58
- Silver Terrace, San Francisco, CA D+36
- Orchard District, Bend, OR D+29
- Portsmouth, Portland, OR D+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.