St. Charles is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 54% of adults in St. Charles typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Charles, ~9% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Charles compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Charles leans more Republican than 30 of 111 neighbors.
St. Charles runs about 74 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while St. Charles is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why St. Charles leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Charles, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of adults in St. Charles hold a bachelor's degree, about 28 points below the Virginia average of 29%. St. Charles runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; St. Charles, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in St. Charles looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. St. Charles is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 64% of adults in St. Charles have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and St. Charles sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maness, VA R+67
- Stone Creek, VA R+64
- Pennington Gap, VA R+58
- Bailey Creek, KY R+84
- Shepherd Hill, VA R+69
- Ocoonita, VA R+63
- Black Bottom, KY R+79
- Closplint, KY R+79
- Kenvir, KY R+83
- Cranks, KY R+78
Cities with Similar Populations
- Latham, OR R+8
- Horton, KY R+62
- Mount Carmel, LA R+88
- Haynes, AR R+14
- Micaville, AL R+81
- Seco, KY R+70
- Gackle, ND R+75
- Mayhaw, GA R+69
- Sinclair, WY R+80
- West Charlton, NY R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.