State Line is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 65% of adults in State Line typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in State Line, ~13% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How State Line compares
Among cities within 25 miles, State Line leans more Republican than 33 of 52 neighbors.
State Line runs about 30 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within State Line. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+52), a spread of about 28 points.
Why State Line leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for State Line, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 3% of adults in State Line hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Arkansas average of 18%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; State Line, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in State Line looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and State Line sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Taylor, AR R+69
- Springhill, LA R+24
- Welcome, AR R+67
- Carterville, LA R+70
- Kizer, AR R+47
- Cullen, LA R+7
- Bradley, AR R+43
- Porterville, LA R+67
- Redland, LA R+70
- Canfield, AR R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bridgeton, NC R+44
- Sardis, SC R+27
- Vedin Corner, SD R+56
- Caret, VA R+2
- Carterton, VA R+69
- Lanesboro, IA R+57
- St. Patrick, MN R+44
- Salt Sulphur Springs, WV R+58
- Stewartsville, IN R+53
- Leon, WI R+37
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.