Stumptown leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Stumptown typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stumptown, ~18% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stumptown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stumptown leans more Republican than 23 of 120 neighbors.
Stumptown runs about 44 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Stumptown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stumptown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Stumptown are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Stumptown, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Stumptown looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Stumptown own their home, about 12 points above the Pennsylvania average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Osceola Mills, PA R+50
- Chester Hill, PA R+44
- Sandy Ridge, PA R+44
- Philipsburg, PA R+27
- Parsonville, PA R+62
- Hawk Run, PA R+55
- Brisbin, PA R+61
- Houtzdale, PA R+15
- Whiteside, PA R+56
- West Decatur, PA R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Acosta, PA R+64
- Wheatley, AR R+24
- Bordelonville, LA R+81
- Bridgeville, CA R+19
- Calpine, CA R+17
- Waddams Grove, IL R+48
- Edom, TX R+77
- Charlton, MS R+3
- Chestnut Ridge, IN R+61
- Scarville, IA R+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.