Sugar Land is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Sugar Land typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sugar Land, ~32% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sugar Land compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sugar Land sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 34 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 18 leaning the other way.
Sugar Land runs about 15 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Sugar Land sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sugar Land. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Sugar Land leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sugar Land, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sugar Land votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Sugar Land runs about 15 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Sugar Land, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Sugar Land looks the way it does
Turnout in Sugar Land sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Territory, TX Even
- Stafford, TX D+29
- Meadows Place, TX Even
- Greatwood, TX R+20
- Crabb, TX D+4
- Missouri City, TX D+36
- Richmond, TX D+8
- Thompsons, TX R+11
- Mission Bend, TX D+23
- Pecan Grove, TX R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fairfax, VA D+35
- Coral Springs, FL D+15
- Billings, MT R+20
- Lakewood, CO D+22
- Flint, MI D+40
- Odessa, TX R+41
- College Station, TX D+9
- York, PA D+4
- Lakewood, NJ R+74
- Sterling Heights, MI R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.