Missouri City leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Missouri City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Missouri City, ~45% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Missouri City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Missouri City leans more Democratic than 55 of 57 neighbors.
Missouri City runs about 49 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Missouri City is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Missouri City. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+73) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 70 points.
Why Missouri City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Missouri City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 89% of residents in Missouri City live in densely developed areas, about 52 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Missouri City sits in the top quarter (about 42%, above 89% of cities). Missouri City runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Missouri City, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Missouri City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Missouri City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stafford, TX D+29
- Fresno, TX D+55
- Thompsons, TX R+11
- Sienna Plantation, TX R+5
- Sugar Land, TX Even
- Meadows Place, TX Even
- Arcola, TX D+26
- Greatwood, TX R+20
- Juliff, TX D+48
- New Territory, TX Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Allen, TX R+5
- Frederick, MD D+27
- Brockton, MA D+42
- Menifee, CA R+14
- Sandy, UT D+4
- Fayetteville, AR D+17
- Roswell, GA D+7
- Georgetown, TX R+15
- Rio Rancho, NM R+4
- Arden-Arcade, CA D+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.