Sugarmill Woods leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 96% of adults in Sugarmill Woods typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sugarmill Woods, ~33% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sugarmill Woods compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sugarmill Woods leans more Republican than 5 of 43 neighbors.
Sugarmill Woods runs about 20 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sugarmill Woods. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Sugarmill Woods leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sugarmill Woods, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sugarmill Woods votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 79%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Sugarmill Woods, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Sugarmill Woods looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Sugarmill Woods is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Sugarmill Woods own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chassahowitzka, FL R+62
- Homosassa, FL R+45
- Homosassa Springs, FL R+52
- Ozello, FL R+62
- Lecanto, FL R+45
- Citrus Hills, FL R+34
- Lake Lindsey, FL R+61
- Inverness Highlands South, FL R+46
- North Weeki Wachee, FL R+39
- Crystal River, FL R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Rainier, MD D+74
- Ingleside, IL R+5
- Lizella, GA R+31
- Lebanon, KY R+38
- Caro, MI R+36
- New Square, NY R+98
- Moab, UT R+5
- Cut Off, LA R+78
- Hastings-on-Hudson, NY D+51
- Bridgewater, VA R+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.