New Square is a Republican stronghold. About 1% of voters here vote Democratic and 99% Republican.
About 80% of adults in New Square typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Square, ~1% vote Democratic, ~79% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Square compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Square is the most Republican-leaning.
New Square runs about 111 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while New Square is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why New Square leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Square, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Square votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 97%, far above the New York average of 36%). Here a high share of family households outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and New Square sits in the bottom quarter (about 5%, below 98% of cities). New Square runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; New Square, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in New Square looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. New Square is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 27 points below the New York average of 64%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Hempstead, NY R+33
- Spring Valley, NY Even
- New City, NY Even
- Kaser, NY R+98
- Wesley Hills, NY R+60
- Monsey, NY R+92
- Nanuet, NY D+9
- Pomona, NY R+11
- West Nyack, NY R+8
- Garnerville, NY R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Caro, MI R+36
- Moab, UT R+5
- Cut Off, LA R+78
- Lebanon, KY R+38
- Westview, FL D+50
- Ingleside, IL R+5
- Mount Rainier, MD D+74
- Sugarmill Woods, FL R+33
- Lizella, GA R+31
- Smiths Creek, MI R+41
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.