Sunrise Beach leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Sunrise Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sunrise Beach, ~24% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sunrise Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sunrise Beach leans more Republican than 3 of 43 neighbors.
Sunrise Beach runs about 30 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sunrise Beach. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Sunrise Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sunrise Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sunrise Beach votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 21%, about 15 points below the U.S. average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Sunrise Beach, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Sunrise Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Sunrise Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Sunrise Beach own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Sunrise Beach have completed high school, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Village of Four Seasons, MO R+38
- Osage Beach, MO R+46
- Lake Ozark, MO R+46
- Laurie, MO R+55
- Gravois Mills, MO R+56
- Linn Creek, MO R+60
- Rocky Mount, MO R+59
- Camdenton, MO R+55
- Roach, MO R+59
- Kaiser, MO R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cambridge, WI Even
- Long Pond, PA D+5
- Towanda, PA R+37
- Slaughterville, OK R+57
- Evendale, OH Even
- Aurora, OR R+20
- Lexington, MI R+26
- New Market, VA R+40
- Port Republic, MD R+23
- Evart, MI R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.