Tarpon River is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Tarpon River typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tarpon River, ~33% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tarpon River compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Tarpon River leans more Democratic than 4 of 21 neighbors.
Tarpon River runs about 17 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Tarpon River is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Tarpon River. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+6), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Tarpon River leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tarpon River, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tarpon River votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Tarpon River runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Tarpon River, Fort Lauderdale, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Tarpon River looks the way it does
Turnout in Tarpon River sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+5
- Croissant Park, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+5
- Riverside Park, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+34
- Flagler Heights, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+20
- Dorsey-Riverbend, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+78
- River Oaks, Fort Lauderdale, FL R+2
- Harbordale, Fort Lauderdale, FL R+4
- Victoria Park, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+6
- Durrs Homeowners, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+80
- Edgewood, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+5
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Durrs Homeowners, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+80
- Central, Helena, MT D+31
- Stanley-Aley, Wichita, KS R+5
- Chabot Park, Oakland, CA D+67
- Little Blue Valley, Kansas City, MO Even
- Burke Acres, Kalamazoo, MI D+29
- Ghent, Norfolk, VA D+49
- Webster, Oakland, CA D+60
- Grantley, York, PA D+23
- Hobart Circle Historic District, Troy, OH R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.