The Hills leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 74% of adults in The Hills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in The Hills, ~35% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How The Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, The Hills leans more Republican than 17 of 37 neighbors.
The Hills runs about 7 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within The Hills. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+18) and the south side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 17 points.
Why The Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for The Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
The Hills votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 40%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 88% of households in The Hills are family households, above 98% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; The Hills, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in The Hills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. The Hills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in The Hills own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in The Hills have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lakeway, TX Even
- Point Venture, TX R+5
- Bee Cave, TX D+14
- Briarcliff, TX R+17
- Spicewood, TX R+37
- Lago Vista, TX R+15
- Dripping Springs, TX R+18
- Marshall Ford, TX Even
- Volente, TX R+16
- Henly, TX R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fort Leonard Wood, MO R+10
- Palmerton, PA R+38
- Elmendorf, TX R+15
- Peculiar, MO R+40
- Springfield, FL R+18
- Birch Bay, WA Even
- Maryville, IL R+10
- La Center, WA R+31
- Golden Valley, AZ R+53
- Willoughby Hills, OH D+14
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.