Springfield leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Springfield typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Springfield, ~26% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Springfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Springfield is the least Republican-leaning.
Springfield runs about 5 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Springfield. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+40), a spread of about 44 points.
Why Springfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Springfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Springfield votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 79%, well above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Springfield sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 81% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Springfield, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Springfield looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Springfield is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Parker, FL R+27
- Callaway, FL R+26
- Panama City, FL R+31
- Lynn Haven, FL R+36
- Pretty Bayou, FL R+32
- Tyndall AFB, FL R+31
- Southport, FL R+65
- Upper Grand Lagoon, FL R+40
- Lower Grand Lagoon, FL R+37
- West Bay, FL R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Peculiar, MO R+40
- Elmendorf, TX R+15
- The Hills, TX R+6
- Fort Leonard Wood, MO R+10
- Maryville, IL R+10
- Palmerton, PA R+38
- Golden Valley, AZ R+53
- Birch Bay, WA Even
- Willoughby Hills, OH D+14
- South Yarmouth, MA D+19
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.