Three Oaks leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Three Oaks typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Three Oaks, ~30% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Three Oaks compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Three Oaks leans more Republican than 44 of 71 neighbors.
Three Oaks runs about 24 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Three Oaks. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Three Oaks leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Three Oaks. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Three Oaks, MI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Three Oaks looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Three Oaks is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lakeside, MI D+11
- Union Pier, MI D+5
- Harbert, MI D+12
- Shorewood-Tower Hills-Harbert, MI D+16
- New Troy, MI R+40
- Galien, MI R+38
- Sawyer, MI R+14
- Tee Lake, IN R+32
- New Buffalo, MI D+4
- Lake Park, IN R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Canby, MN R+47
- McLouth, KS R+49
- South Zanesville, OH R+43
- Red Lake, MN D+79
- Muscoda, WI R+32
- Tenaha, TX R+56
- Cherryvale, KS R+59
- Creal Springs, IL R+58
- East Williston, NY R+22
- Marlborough, MO D+20
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.