Tin City leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Tin City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tin City, ~33% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tin City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tin City leans more Republican than 12 of 52 neighbors.
Tin City runs about 7 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tin City. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+54), a spread of about 64 points.
Why Tin City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tin City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tin City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 21%, modestly below the North Carolina average of 27%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Tin City, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tin City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tin City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wallace, NC R+18
- Teachey, NC R+3
- Willard, NC R+38
- Rose Hill, NC R+6
- Greenevers, NC R+3
- Sloan, NC R+34
- Watha, NC R+42
- Register, NC R+3
- Penderlea, NC R+11
- Murray Town, NC R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Anceney, MT R+34
- Mansfield, TN R+71
- Champion, NE R+80
- Bull Creek, MO R+59
- Kensington, NH Even
- Gomer, OH R+73
- Rexville, IN R+66
- Steelwood, AL R+52
- Covert, NY Even
- Pella, WI R+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.