Trout Run is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Trout Run typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trout Run, ~14% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trout Run compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Trout Run leans more Republican than 49 of 76 neighbors.
Trout Run runs about 61 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Trout Run leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trout Run, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Trout Run sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 9 points above the Pennsylvania average of 87%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Trout Run, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Trout Run looks the way it does
Turnout in Trout Run sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Powys, PA R+59
- Calvert, PA R+61
- White Pine, PA R+66
- Buttonwood, PA R+66
- Marsh Hill, PA R+61
- Quiggleville, PA R+61
- Cogan Station, PA R+53
- Ralston, PA R+63
- Wallis Run, PA R+61
- Liberty, PA R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hydro, OK R+67
- Oakley, MI R+40
- Littlerock, WA R+8
- Converse, IN R+57
- Fort Ripley, MN R+55
- Sunol, CA D+21
- Hagerman, NM R+56
- Winthrop, NY R+33
- Wattsburg, PA R+44
- Blanchard, ID R+58
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.