Hagerman is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Hagerman typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hagerman, ~10% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hagerman compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hagerman leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
Hagerman runs about 62 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Hagerman is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hagerman leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hagerman, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hagerman votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Hagerman runs about 62 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Hagerman, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Hagerman looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hagerman is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 6 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Hagerman report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 73% of adults in Hagerman have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Greenfield, NM R+54
- Lake Arthur, NM R+66
- Dexter, NM R+48
- Riverside, NM R+67
- Artesia, NM R+56
- Atoka, NM R+68
- Roswell, NM R+35
- Midway, NM R+61
- Hope, NM R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Littlerock, WA R+8
- Sunol, CA D+21
- Brooklawn, NJ D+5
- Margaretville, NY Even
- Greenbush, MI R+31
- Oakley, MI R+40
- Hydro, OK R+67
- Trout Run, PA R+63
- East Bronson, FL R+46
- Fort Ripley, MN R+55
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.