Two Harbors is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Two Harbors typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Two Harbors, ~47% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Two Harbors compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Two Harbors leans more Republican than 4 of 13 neighbors.
Two Harbors runs about 8 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Two Harbors. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Two Harbors leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Two Harbors, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density pulls a place toward Democrats and a high white share pulls it toward Republicans. In Two Harbors the two roughly cancel.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Two Harbors, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Two Harbors looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Two Harbors is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Waldo, MN R+14
- Larsmont, MN R+9
- Knife River, MN R+8
- Palmers, MN D+3
- Whyte, MN R+7
- Highland, MN R+12
- Wales, MN R+12
- Brimson, MN Even
- East Beaver Bay, MN R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Porter, IN R+10
- Englewood Cliffs, NJ Even
- Sparta, IL R+32
- Armada, MI R+43
- Warsaw, VA R+29
- Saukville, WI R+23
- Fox Chapel, PA D+21
- Albion, PA R+5
- Deer Park, OH D+8
- Berkeley, IL D+44
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.