Warsaw, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Warsaw

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Warsaw leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.

 

About 59% of adults in Warsaw typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warsaw, ~21% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Warsaw compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Warsaw leans more Republican than 83 of 114 neighbors.

Warsaw runs about 35 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Warsaw is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warsaw. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 13 points.

Why Warsaw leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warsaw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Warsaw votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Warsaw runs about 35 points more Republican.

High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout

Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Warsaw, VA does.

Why turnout in Warsaw looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Warsaw is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Warsaw have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.