Ulster is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Ulster typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ulster, ~15% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ulster compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ulster leans more Republican than 68 of 107 neighbors.
Ulster runs about 59 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Ulster leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ulster, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Ulster drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Ulster fits that profile on both counts.
Foreign-born share and voter turnout
Places with a low foreign-born share tend to turn out in mixed patterns; Ulster, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ulster looks the way it does
Turnout in Ulster sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saco, PA R+62
- Sheshequin, PA R+60
- Horn Brook, PA R+59
- Litchfield, PA R+58
- North Towanda, PA R+49
- Riggs, PA R+60
- Myersburg, PA R+49
- Milan, PA R+54
- Towanda, PA R+37
- East Towanda, PA R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Leesburg, TX R+62
- Whitaker, PA D+10
- Sangerville, ME R+38
- Wishek, ND R+59
- Millersville, MO R+70
- Lilbourn, MO R+26
- Overisel, MI R+45
- Jessieville, AR R+47
- Gowrie, IA R+46
- Osterburg, PA R+71
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.