Upshur County is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Upshur County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Upshur County, ~12% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Upshur County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Upshur County leans more Republican than 11 of 12 neighbors.
Upshur County runs about 53 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Upshur County. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+76) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Upshur County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Upshur County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 17% of adults in Upshur County hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Texas average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 71% of households in Upshur County are family households, above 83% of counties.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Upshur County, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Upshur County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Upshur County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Gregg County, TX R+28
- Camp County, TX R+41
- Wood County, TX R+68
- Morris County, TX R+39
- Marion County, TX R+49
- Harrison County, TX R+39
- Titus County, TX R+40
- Smith County, TX R+28
- Franklin County, TX R+62
- Rusk County, TX R+53
Counties with Similar Populations
- Shawano County, WI R+35
- Williams County, ND R+61
- Warren County, TN R+62
- Preble County, OH R+58
- Tioga County, PA R+50
- Warren County, VA R+32
- Cheatham County, TN R+55
- Clatsop County, OR D+6
- Mississippi County, AR R+10
- Isanti County, MN R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.