Mississippi County leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Mississippi County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mississippi County, ~25% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mississippi County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Mississippi County leans more Republican than 3 of 14 neighbors.
Mississippi County runs about 20 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Mississippi County. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+72), a spread of about 94 points.
Why Mississippi County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mississippi County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Mississippi County hold a bachelor's degree, about 5 points below the Arkansas average of 18%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mississippi County, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mississippi County looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 40% of households in Mississippi County rent, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Mississippi County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Mississippi County report food insecurity, above 91% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Lauderdale County, TN R+23
- Pemiscot County, MO R+30
- Tipton County, TN R+47
- Greene County, AR R+58
- Dunklin County, MO R+50
- Poinsett County, AR R+56
- Craighead County, AR R+27
- Dyer County, TN R+47
- Clay County, AR R+62
- Haywood County, TN D+13
Counties with Similar Populations
- Warren County, VA R+32
- Sanilac County, MI R+46
- Knox County, ME D+7
- Pasquotank County, NC Even
- Wyoming County, NY R+39
- Shawano County, WI R+35
- Fayette County, WV R+46
- Upshur County, TX R+67
- Amador County, CA R+35
- LaGrange County, IN R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.