Valley Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Valley Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Mills, ~20% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Mills leans more Republican than 104 of 131 neighbors.
Valley Mills runs about 56 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Valley Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Valley Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Valley Mills votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Valley Mills runs about 56 points more Republican. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Valley Mills fits that profile on both counts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Valley Mills, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Valley Mills looks the way it does
Turnout in Valley Mills sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stockbridge, NY R+43
- Munnsville, NY R+42
- Knoxboro, NY R+47
- Solsville, NY R+39
- Sherrill, NY R+4
- Merrillsville, NY R+34
- Vernon Center, NY R+42
- Oneida Castle, NY R+33
- Peterboro, NY R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bentley, OK R+77
- Lyons, PA R+33
- Spring Glen, UT R+56
- Spruce Creek, PA R+51
- Rinard, IL R+73
- Ober, IN R+50
- Sparta, MS R+9
- Casselman, PA R+73
- Opihikao, HI D+21
- Barber, AL R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.