Casselman is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Casselman typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Casselman, ~10% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Casselman compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Casselman leans more Republican than 116 of 117 neighbors.
Casselman runs about 72 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Casselman leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Casselman, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Casselman, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Casselman drive to work alone, above 88% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Casselman, PA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Casselman looks the way it does
Turnout in Casselman sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rockwood, PA R+64
- Markleton, PA R+71
- New Centerville, PA R+70
- New Lexington, PA R+56
- Fairhope, PA R+57
- Fort Hill, PA R+65
- Summit Mills, PA R+69
- Garrett, PA R+69
- Scullton, PA R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rinard, IL R+73
- Neck City, MO R+70
- Second Milo, NY R+28
- Knoxboro, NY R+47
- Spruce Creek, PA R+51
- Valley Mills, NY R+43
- Rockville, TN R+69
- Seaton, IL R+47
- Prescott, IA R+54
- Barber, AL R+68
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.