Vermillion leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Vermillion typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vermillion, ~21% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vermillion compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vermillion leans more Republican than 73 of 75 neighbors.
Vermillion runs about 45 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Vermillion is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vermillion. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Vermillion leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vermillion, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vermillion votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Vermillion runs about 45 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Vermillion are family households, above 83% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Vermillion, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Vermillion looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Vermillion is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Coates, MN R+32
- Hampton, MN R+40
- New Trier, MN R+44
- Nininger, MN R+20
- Hastings, MN R+11
- Miesville, MN R+39
- Rosemount, MN D+6
- Farmington, MN R+11
- Randolph, MN R+38
- St. Paul Park, MN D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Youngsport, TX R+54
- Oloh, MS R+74
- New Lexington, AL R+86
- Knights Landing, CA R+20
- Laceyville, PA R+57
- Woodburn, KY R+50
- Cerro Gordo, IL R+41
- Huntley, MT R+64
- Peck, MI R+53
- Pickett, WI R+35
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.