St. Paul Park is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 84% of adults in St. Paul Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Paul Park, ~44% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Paul Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Paul Park leans more Democratic than 31 of 94 neighbors.
Politically, St. Paul Park sits close to the rest of Minnesota.
Why St. Paul Park leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in St. Paul Park. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; St. Paul Park, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in St. Paul Park looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. St. Paul Park is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cottage Grove, MN D+7
- Newport, MN D+12
- Inver Grove Heights, MN D+10
- South St. Paul, MN D+18
- Sunfish Lake, MN D+12
- Woodbury, MN D+22
- West St. Paul, MN D+27
- Nininger, MN R+20
- Mendota Heights, MN D+22
- Landfall, MN D+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lockwood, MT R+43
- Iron Station, NC R+53
- Valley City, ND R+29
- West Jefferson, OH R+44
- Oakhurst, CA R+20
- Apple Creek, OH R+65
- Boulder Creek, CA D+37
- Plumas Lake, CA R+26
- Hazlehurst, MS D+36
- Rhome, TX R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.