Walnut Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Walnut Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Hill, ~14% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Walnut Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Walnut Hill leans more Republican than 17 of 49 neighbors.
Walnut Hill runs about 49 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Walnut Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 80% of households in Walnut Hill are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Walnut Hill sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 82% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Walnut Hill, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Walnut Hill looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Walnut Hill own their home, about 25 points above the Florida average of 71%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McDavid, FL R+67
- Bratt, FL R+75
- Nokomis, AL R+62
- Oak Grove, FL R+71
- Enon, FL R+62
- Phillipsville, AL R+88
- Atmore, AL R+16
- Dyas, AL R+76
- Perdido, AL R+81
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fellows, CA R+80
- Swainton, NJ R+26
- Wishram, WA R+39
- Gillespie, VA R+69
- Lehigh, IL R+48
- Parkhill, PA R+52
- Palmer, KY R+65
- Sterling Forest, NY R+19
- Lockville, OH R+27
- Lockbridge, WV R+56
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.