Oak Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Oak Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Grove, ~11% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Grove leans more Republican than 25 of 50 neighbors.
Oak Grove runs about 58 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Oak Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in Oak Grove are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Oak Grove, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oak Grove looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Oak Grove have completed high school, about 6 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McDavid, FL R+67
- Bratt, FL R+75
- Byrneville, FL R+47
- Walnut Hill, FL R+62
- Century, FL R+30
- McKinnon, FL R+68
- Mineral Springs, FL R+71
- Enon, FL R+62
- Canoe, AL R+34
- Brownsdale, FL R+84
Cities with Similar Populations
- Coalport, OH R+62
- Worstville, OH R+63
- Metz, CA R+3
- Plattsville, PA R+62
- Purvis Still, FL R+56
- Portland, GA R+74
- Dalton, NH R+27
- Mc Neill, MS R+70
- Reubens, ID R+61
- Redeye, VA R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.