Warm Mineral Springs leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Warm Mineral Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warm Mineral Springs, ~32% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warm Mineral Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warm Mineral Springs leans more Republican than 16 of 36 neighbors.
Warm Mineral Springs runs about 13 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warm Mineral Springs. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Warm Mineral Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warm Mineral Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Warm Mineral Springs votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 79%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Warm Mineral Springs, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Warm Mineral Springs looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Warm Mineral Springs is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 58% of cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Warm Mineral Springs have completed high school, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Port, FL R+32
- Manasota, FL R+36
- Englewood, FL R+30
- Venice, FL R+21
- Venice Gardens, FL R+21
- South Venice, FL R+26
- Port Charlotte, FL R+32
- Rotonda West, FL R+40
- Grove City, FL R+32
- Rotonda, FL R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wyandanch, NY D+50
- Waban, MA D+57
- Leadville, CO D+27
- Beulaville, NC R+42
- Oceanport, NJ R+22
- Arcanum, OH R+63
- Cohutta, GA R+67
- Littleton, NH R+3
- Greenwood, DE R+43
- Spring Arbor, MI R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.