Manasota leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Manasota typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manasota, ~30% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manasota compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manasota leans more Republican than 25 of 32 neighbors.
Manasota runs about 23 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Manasota leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manasota, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Manasota votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 30%, well below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Manasota, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Manasota looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Manasota is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 60%, below 57% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Manasota own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Manasota have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Venice, FL R+26
- Englewood, FL R+30
- Venice Gardens, FL R+21
- Venice, FL R+21
- Warm Mineral Springs, FL R+26
- Grove City, FL R+32
- Manasota Key, FL R+36
- Rotonda West, FL R+40
- Rotonda, FL R+34
- Nokomis, FL R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Christiansburg, OH R+58
- Georgetown, CO D+19
- Amelia, LA R+20
- Greenview, IL R+51
- Twin Valley, MN R+29
- Hill City, GA R+68
- Hughes, AR D+26
- Cooksville, MD Even
- Vintondale, PA R+56
- Bruceville-Eddy, TX R+65
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.