Warren leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Warren typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warren, ~21% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warren compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warren leans more Republican than 3 of 38 neighbors.
Warren runs about 8 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warren. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+61) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 52 points.
Why Warren leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warren, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Warren drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Warren sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 79% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Warren, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Warren looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Warren is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in Warren rent, above 92% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Warren report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McKinney, AR R+27
- Orlando, AR R+54
- Wilmar, AR R+34
- Sumpter, AR R+60
- Farmville, AR R+42
- Banks, AR R+42
- Gravelridge, AR R+51
- Hermitage, AR R+53
- Lanark, AR R+48
- Herbine, AR R+80
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Shasta, CA D+9
- Hawkinsville, GA R+29
- Inwood, FL Even
- Port Matilda, PA R+2
- Dunlap, IN R+28
- Little Falls, NY R+21
- Mentor-on-the-Lake, OH R+12
- Schuyler, NE R+11
- Charlestown, RI R+3
- Erath, LA R+76
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.