Sumpter is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Sumpter typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sumpter, ~11% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sumpter compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sumpter leans more Republican than 22 of 36 neighbors.
Sumpter runs about 30 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sumpter. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+71) and the north side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 69 points.
Why Sumpter leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sumpter, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Sumpter live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 13%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Sumpter, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Sumpter looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Sumpter is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 5 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in Sumpter report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hermitage, AR R+53
- Johnsville, AR R+62
- Farmville, AR R+42
- Warren, AR R+23
- Ingalls, AR R+59
- Lacey, AR R+62
- Wilmar, AR R+34
- McKinney, AR R+27
- Banks, AR R+42
- Lanark, AR R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cross Roads, IN R+57
- Sumterville, AL D+44
- Lamar, NE R+83
- Grant, IA R+49
- Waverly, LA R+61
- Merced Falls, CA R+41
- Minter City, MS R+11
- South Woodville, ME R+41
- Trimountain, MI R+28
- Sassafras, MD R+34
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.