Warren leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 68% of adults in Warren typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warren, ~37% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warren compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warren leans more Democratic than 82 of 119 neighbors.
Warren runs about 5 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warren. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Warren leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warren, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 37% of adults in Warren hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Warren have never been married, above 79% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Warren, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Warren looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Warren is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Barrington, RI D+32
- Bristol, RI D+9
- Swansea, MA R+8
- Riverside, RI D+8
- Somerset, MA R+3
- Fall River, MA Even
- Warwick, RI D+8
- Tiverton, RI Even
- East Providence, RI D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Navasota, TX R+15
- Mendota Heights, MN D+22
- Camp Verde, AZ R+30
- Harrah, OK R+52
- Dowagiac, MI R+19
- Clarksville, MD D+34
- Whitesboro, NY R+19
- Yorkshire, VA D+12
- Itasca, IL R+6
- Breinigsville, PA D+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.