Warwick leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 70% of adults in Warwick typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warwick, ~38% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warwick compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warwick leans more Democratic than 78 of 114 neighbors.
Warwick runs about 6 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warwick. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+16) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+4), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Warwick leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warwick, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 32% of adults in Warwick hold a bachelor's degree, above 78% of cities. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 33% of adults in Warwick have never been married, above 83% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Warwick, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Warwick looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Warwick is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cranston, RI D+11
- Riverside, RI D+8
- West Warwick, RI D+6
- East Greenwich, RI D+23
- Barrington, RI D+32
- East Providence, RI D+12
- Providence, RI D+11
- Warren, RI D+9
- Hope, RI R+14
- Coventry, RI R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Charleston, WV R+5
- Redmond, WA D+45
- Scranton, PA D+14
- Pittsburg, CA D+38
- Springfield, OR D+8
- Battle Creek, MI Even
- Jupiter, FL R+20
- Pawtucket, RI D+26
- Auburn, AL D+3
- Southfield, MI D+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.