Warsaw leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Warsaw typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warsaw, ~27% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warsaw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warsaw leans more Republican than 29 of 40 neighbors.
Politically, Warsaw sits close to the rest of South Carolina.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warsaw. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+51), a spread of about 69 points.
Why Warsaw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warsaw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Warsaw hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the South Carolina average of 23%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Warsaw, SC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Warsaw looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Warsaw sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Andrews, SC D+4
- Bloomingvale, SC D+9
- West Andrews, SC R+15
- Rhems, SC R+10
- Dunbar, SC D+32
- Nesmith, SC D+51
- Choppee, SC R+23
- Sampit, SC R+21
- Oatland, SC D+35
- Millwood, SC D+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Normantown, GA R+64
- Milbridge, ME R+26
- Bel Alton, MD R+31
- Earlville, IA R+49
- Ledbetter, TX R+60
- Roulette, PA R+60
- Mantee, MS R+40
- Cocolalla, ID R+57
- Corsica, PA R+64
- Truro, MA D+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Carolina State Election Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.