Nesmith is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Nesmith typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nesmith, ~61% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nesmith compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nesmith leans more Democratic than 37 of 38 neighbors.
Nesmith runs about 69 points more Democratic than South Carolina as a whole. South Carolina leans Republican overall, while Nesmith is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Nesmith. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+59) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Nesmith leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nesmith, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Nesmith votes against the grain of South Carolina. South Carolina leans Republican overall, while Nesmith runs about 69 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 30% of adults in Nesmith have never been married, above 75% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Nesmith, SC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Nesmith looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Nesmith is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 9 points below the South Carolina average of 58%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stuckey, SC D+35
- Rhems, SC R+10
- Hemingway, SC Even
- Fowler, SC D+43
- Bloomingvale, SC D+9
- Warsaw, SC R+21
- Leo, SC R+19
- Millwood, SC D+14
- Johnsonville, SC R+30
- Choppee, SC R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Slidell, TX R+68
- Tsegi, AZ D+29
- Plato, MN R+56
- Jarreau, LA R+66
- Logan, NM R+67
- Kress, TX R+50
- Rayle, GA R+38
- Davey, NE R+39
- Toccopola, MS R+74
- Rockford, AL R+52
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Carolina State Election Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.