10020 is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 10020 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10020, ~32% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10020 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10020 leans more Democratic than 142 of 203 neighbors.
10020 runs about 46 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 10020 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10020, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 90% of adults in 10020 hold a bachelor's degree, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 10020 sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, in the top fraction of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in 10020 have never been married, above 83% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 10020, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 10020 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 74% of households in 10020 rent, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 10020 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.