10019 is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 54% of adults in 10019 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10019, ~44% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10019 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10019 leans more Democratic than 150 of 199 neighbors.
10019 runs about 49 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10019. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+68) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+54), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 10019 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10019, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10019 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 10019 sits in the top quarter (about 78%, in the top fraction of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in 10019 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 10019, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 10019 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 80% of households in 10019 rent, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in 10019 have more than one occupant per room, above 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.