10128 is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 10128 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10128, ~52% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10128 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10128 leans more Democratic than 154 of 208 neighbors.
10128 runs about 48 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10128. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+67) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+53), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 10128 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10128, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10128 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 10128 sits in the top quarter (about 79%, in the top fraction of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in 10128 have never been married, above 89% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 10128, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 10128 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10128 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.