10029 is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 45% of adults in 10029 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10029, ~36% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10029 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10029 leans more Democratic than 152 of 207 neighbors.
10029 runs about 48 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10029. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+56), a spread of about 10 points.
Why 10029 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10029, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10029 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 10029 sits in the top quarter (about 36%, above 76% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in 10029 have never been married, above 97% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 10029, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 10029 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 10029 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 92% of households in 10029 rent, compared to around 74% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in 10029 report food insecurity, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.