10021 is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 10021 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10021, ~55% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10021 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10021 leans more Democratic than 129 of 210 neighbors.
10021 runs about 40 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10021. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+57) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+22), a spread of about 35 points.
Why 10021 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10021, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10021 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 10021 sits in the top quarter (about 80%, in the top fraction of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in 10021 have never been married, above 88% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 10021, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 10021 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10021 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 10021 have completed high school, above 92% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.