10302 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 50% of adults in 10302 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10302, ~29% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10302 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10302 leans more Democratic than 25 of 107 neighbors.
Politically, 10302 sits close to the rest of New York.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10302. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+43) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 56 points.
Why 10302 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10302, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10302 live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in 10302 have never been married, above 88% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 10302, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 10302 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 10302 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in 10302 rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 10302 report food insecurity, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.