10314 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 10314 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10314, ~20% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10314 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10314 leans more Republican than 79 of 90 neighbors.
10314 runs about 45 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10314 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10314. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 27 points.
Why 10314 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10314, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
10314 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 94%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 10314 are family households, above 78% of zip codes. 10314 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 10314, NY does.
Why turnout in 10314 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in 10314 have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.