10305 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 10305 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10305, ~19% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10305 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10305 leans more Republican than 109 of 123 neighbors.
10305 runs about 38 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10305 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10305. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 10305 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10305, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
10305 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 97%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. 10305 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 10305, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 10305 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in 10305 have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of zip codes. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in 10305 rent, compared to around 51% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.