10458 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 35% of adults in 10458 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10458, ~24% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10458 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10458 leans more Democratic than 96 of 213 neighbors.
10458 runs about 25 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10458. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+45) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 21 points.
Why 10458 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10458, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 10458 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in 10458 have never been married, above 95% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 10458, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 10458 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 10458 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 17 points below the New York average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 96% of households in 10458 rent, about 71 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 44% of adults in 10458 report food insecurity, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.