10535 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 10535 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10535, ~43% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10535 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10535 leans more Democratic than 25 of 54 neighbors.
10535 runs about 9 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10535. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 10535 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 10535. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 10535, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 10535 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10535 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.