10541 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 10541 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10541, ~30% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10541 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10541 is the most Republican-leaning.
10541 runs about 40 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10541 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10541. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 10541 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10541, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
10541 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 10541 runs about 40 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in 10541 are family households, above 93% of zip codes.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; 10541, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 10541 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10541 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 10541 own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.