11412 is a Democratic stronghold. About 90% of voters here vote Democratic and 10% Republican.
About 49% of adults in 11412 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11412, ~44% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11412 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11412 leans more Democratic than 227 of 236 neighbors.
11412 runs about 67 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 11412 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11412, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 11412 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in 11412 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 11412, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 11412 looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 26% of adults in 11412 report food insecurity, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.